SwissDLTSwissOracle100 live markets · Chain 94
Finance decision center · Remainder 2026

Time becomes
verifiable.

One hundred precise monetary-policy and macroeconomic questions, mapped across the releases that move markets. Every deadline, source and transaction is public on SwissDLT.

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RESOLUTION RUNWAY / UTCLIVE FEED
NEXT RESOLUTION · US-CPI-OCT

US October headline CPI

2026-11-10 · 14:30 UTC

09.1110 resolutions · week of 2026-11-091016.1122 resolutions · week of 2026-11-1623.114 resolutions · week of 2026-11-23430.1117 resolutions · week of 2026-11-3007.1215 resolutions · week of 2026-12-071514.1228 resolutions · week of 2026-12-1421.122 resolutions · week of 2026-12-21228.122 resolutions · week of 2026-12-28
WEEKLY RESOLUTION VOLUMENOV — DEC 2026
Curated markets100
Policy decisions25
Economic releases75
Resolution sources52
01 · Decision intelligence

The year’s last
moving parts.

Follow the release calendar rather than the noise. Category depth, upcoming resolution windows and the exact path from public evidence to an on-chain answer—all derived from the same 100 live markets.

Market composition

100 questions / 10 categories
Monetary policy25
US data23
UK data15
Euro-area data12
Swiss data4
German data4
Japanese data4
Canadian data4
Australian data4
Chinese data5

From evidence to finality

Optimistic resolution flow
01

Public evidence

Each question names its official source and precise UTC deadline.

02

Bonded proposal

A participant bonds SORC on a binary YES or NO answer.

03

Challenge & vote

Opposing bonds escalate; unresolved disputes move to staked governance.

04

Canonical answer

Final outcomes can be read and verified directly on-chain.

0 / 100 reviewed
01

Monetary policy

25 questions
001CB-FED

Federal Reserve — December rate decision

Resolution deadline ·

At the FOMC decision scheduled for 9 December 2026, will the Federal Reserve raise the upper bound of the federal funds target range above the upper bound stated in its 28 October 2026 decision? Resolve YES only if the official 9 December statement shows a higher upper bound; otherwise resolve NO.

002CB-ECB

European Central Bank — December deposit facility

Resolution deadline ·

At the ECB Governing Council monetary-policy decision scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the deposit facility rate be raised above the level set in the 29 October 2026 decision? Resolve YES only if the official 17 December monetary-policy decision states a higher deposit facility rate; otherwise resolve NO.

003CB-BOE

Bank of England — December Bank Rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Bank of England MPC announcement scheduled for 17 December 2026, will Bank Rate be raised above the level set in the 5 November 2026 MPC announcement? Resolve YES only if the official December Monetary Policy Summary states a higher Bank Rate; otherwise resolve NO.

004CB-BOJ

Bank of Japan — December policy rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting ending 18 December 2026, will the Bank raise its short-term policy interest rate above the level set at the meeting ending 30 October 2026? Resolve YES only if the official December statement shows a higher policy rate; otherwise resolve NO.

005CB-SNB

Swiss National Bank — December policy rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Swiss National Bank monetary-policy assessment scheduled for 10 December 2026, will the SNB policy rate be raised above the level set in the 24 September 2026 assessment? Resolve YES only if the official 10 December assessment states a higher SNB policy rate; otherwise resolve NO.

006CB-RBA

Reserve Bank of Australia — December cash rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board decision scheduled for 8 December 2026, will the cash rate target be raised above the target set in the 3 November 2026 decision? Resolve YES only if the official 8 December decision statement shows a higher cash rate target; otherwise resolve NO.

007CB-RBNZ

Reserve Bank of New Zealand — December OCR

Resolution deadline ·

At the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Monetary Policy Statement scheduled for 9 December 2026, will the Official Cash Rate be raised above the level set in the 28 October 2026 Monetary Policy Review? Resolve YES only if the official 9 December release states a higher OCR; otherwise resolve NO.

008CB-BOC

Bank of Canada — December overnight rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Bank of Canada interest-rate announcement scheduled for 9 December 2026, will the target for the overnight rate be raised above the 2.50% target set on 28 October 2026? Resolve YES only if the official 9 December announcement states a target above 2.50%; otherwise resolve NO.

009CB-NORGES-R1

Norges Bank — December policy rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Norges Bank policy-rate decision scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the policy rate be raised above the 4.50% rate maintained in the 5 November 2026 decision? Resolve YES only if the official 17 December release states a policy rate above 4.50%; otherwise resolve NO.

010CB-RIKSBANK

Riksbank — December policy rate

Resolution deadline ·

In the Riksbank monetary-policy decision scheduled for publication on 16 December 2026, will the policy rate be raised above the 2.00% rate announced on 4 November 2026? Resolve YES only if the official December decision states a policy rate above 2.00%; otherwise resolve NO.

011CB-CNB

Czech National Bank — December two-week repo rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Czech National Bank monetary-policy meeting scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the two-week repo rate be raised above the level set at the 5 November 2026 meeting? Resolve YES only if the official 17 December Bank Board decision states a higher two-week repo rate; otherwise resolve NO.

012CB-NBP

National Bank of Poland — December reference rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the National Bank of Poland Monetary Policy Council meeting ending 2 December 2026, will the NBP reference rate be raised above the level set at the meeting ending 4 November 2026? Resolve YES only if the official December decision states a higher reference rate; otherwise resolve NO.

013CB-RBI

Reserve Bank of India — December repo rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee meeting ending 4 December 2026, will the policy repo rate be raised above the 5.50% level announced on 7 October 2026? Resolve YES only if the official December resolution states a repo rate above 5.50%; otherwise resolve NO.

014CB-BANXICO

Banco de México — December target rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Banco de México monetary-policy decision scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the target for the overnight interbank interest rate be raised above the level announced on 6 November 2026? Resolve YES only if the official December statement shows a higher target rate; otherwise resolve NO.

015CB-BCB

Banco Central do Brasil — December Selic

Resolution deadline ·

At the Banco Central do Brasil Copom meeting ending 9 December 2026, will the Selic target be reduced below the 13.75% target maintained at the November 2026 meeting? Resolve YES only if the official December Copom statement sets a Selic target below 13.75%; otherwise resolve NO.

016CB-SARB

South African Reserve Bank — November repo rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the South African Reserve Bank MPC announcement scheduled for 19 November 2026, will the repurchase rate be raised above the level set in the 23 September 2026 MPC statement? Resolve YES only if the official November MPC statement shows a higher repo rate; otherwise resolve NO.

017CB-CBRT

Central Bank of Türkiye — December one-week repo

Resolution deadline ·

At the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye MPC decision scheduled for 10 December 2026, will the one-week repo auction rate be reduced below the 36.00% rate set on 22 October 2026? Resolve YES only if the official December MPC statement sets a rate below 36.00%; otherwise resolve NO.

018CB-CHILE

Central Bank of Chile — December MPR rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Central Bank of Chile Monetary Policy Meeting scheduled for 15 December 2026, will the monetary-policy interest rate be raised above the level set at the 27 October 2026 meeting? Resolve YES only if the official December statement shows a higher monetary-policy rate; otherwise resolve NO.

019CB-COLOMBIA

Banco de la República — December policy rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Banco de la República Board meeting scheduled for 18 December 2026, will the monetary-policy interest rate be raised above the 12.25% rate maintained on 30 October 2026? Resolve YES only if the official December decision states a rate above 12.25%; otherwise resolve NO.

020CB-KOREA

Bank of Korea — November Base Rate

Resolution deadline ·

At the Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting scheduled for 26 November 2026, will the Base Rate be raised above the level set at the 14 October 2026 meeting? Resolve YES only if the official November decision states a higher Base Rate; otherwise resolve NO.

021CB-NIGERIA

Central Bank of Nigeria — November MPR

Resolution deadline ·

At the Central Bank of Nigeria Monetary Policy Committee meeting ending 24 November 2026, will the Monetary Policy Rate be raised above the level set at the meeting ending 22 September 2026? Resolve YES only if the official November communique states a higher MPR; otherwise resolve NO.

022CB-PBOC-NOV-1Y

China — November one-year LPR

Resolution deadline ·

In the Loan Prime Rate publication scheduled for 20 November 2026, will the one-year LPR be reduced below the one-year LPR published on 20 October 2026? Resolve YES only if the official November publication shows a lower one-year LPR; otherwise resolve NO.

023CB-PBOC-NOV-5Y

China — November five-year LPR

Resolution deadline ·

In the Loan Prime Rate publication scheduled for 20 November 2026, will the five-year LPR be reduced below the five-year LPR published on 20 October 2026? Resolve YES only if the official November publication shows a lower five-year LPR; otherwise resolve NO.

024CB-PBOC-DEC-1Y

China — December one-year LPR

Resolution deadline ·

In the Loan Prime Rate publication scheduled for 21 December 2026, will the one-year LPR be reduced below the one-year LPR published on 20 November 2026? Resolve YES only if the official December publication shows a lower one-year LPR; otherwise resolve NO.

025CB-PBOC-DEC-5Y

China — December five-year LPR

Resolution deadline ·

In the Loan Prime Rate publication scheduled for 21 December 2026, will the five-year LPR be reduced below the five-year LPR published on 20 November 2026? Resolve YES only if the official December publication shows a lower five-year LPR; otherwise resolve NO.

02

US data

23 questions
026US-CPI-OCT

US October headline CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for October 2026 scheduled for 10 November 2026, will the all-items 12-month percent change exceed the all-items 12-month percent change initially reported for September 2026? Resolve YES if the October rate is strictly higher; resolve NO if it is equal or lower.

027US-CORE-CPI-OCT

US October core CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for October 2026 scheduled for 10 November 2026, will the 12-month percent change for all items less food and energy exceed the corresponding rate initially reported for September 2026? Resolve YES if the October core rate is strictly higher; resolve NO if it is equal or lower.

028US-REAL-EARNINGS-OCT

US October real hourly earnings

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Real Earnings release for October 2026 scheduled for 10 November 2026, will the 12-month percent change in real average hourly earnings exceed the corresponding rate initially reported for September 2026? Resolve YES if the October rate is strictly higher; resolve NO if it is equal or lower.

029US-PPI-OCT

US October headline PPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for October 2026 scheduled for 13 November 2026, will the final-demand 12-month percent change exceed the final-demand 12-month percent change initially reported for September 2026? Resolve YES if the October rate is strictly higher; resolve NO if it is equal or lower.

030US-CORE-PPI-OCT

US October core PPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for October 2026 scheduled for 13 November 2026, will the 12-month percent change for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services exceed the corresponding rate initially reported for September 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

031US-IMPORT-PRICES-OCT

US October import prices

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release for October 2026 scheduled for 17 November 2026, will the all-import 12-month percent change exceed the all-import 12-month percent change initially reported for September 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

032US-EXPORT-PRICES-OCT

US October export prices

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release for October 2026 scheduled for 17 November 2026, will the all-export 12-month percent change exceed the all-export 12-month percent change initially reported for September 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

033US-JOLTS-OPENINGS-OCT

US October job openings

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS JOLTS release for October 2026 scheduled for 1 December 2026, will the seasonally adjusted job-openings level exceed the September 2026 level initially published on 3 November 2026? Resolve YES if the October level is strictly higher; resolve NO if it is equal or lower.

034US-JOLTS-QUITS-OCT

US October quits

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS JOLTS release for October 2026 scheduled for 1 December 2026, will the seasonally adjusted total quits level exceed the September 2026 level initially published on 3 November 2026? Resolve YES if the October quits level is strictly higher; resolve NO if it is equal or lower.

035US-NFP-NOV

US November nonfarm payrolls

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 scheduled for 4 December 2026, will the over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment be greater than zero? Resolve YES only for a strictly positive initial estimate; resolve NO for zero or a negative estimate.

036US-UNEMPLOYMENT-NOV

US November unemployment rate

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 scheduled for 4 December 2026, will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate exceed the October 2026 rate initially published on 6 November 2026? Resolve YES if the November rate is strictly higher; resolve NO if it is equal or lower.

037US-WAGES-NOV

US November hourly earnings

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 scheduled for 4 December 2026, will the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings exceed the corresponding October 2026 rate initially published on 6 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

038US-PARTICIPATION-NOV

US November labour-force participation

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 scheduled for 4 December 2026, will the seasonally adjusted labor-force participation rate exceed the October 2026 rate initially published on 6 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

039US-U6-NOV

US November U-6 underemployment

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 scheduled for 4 December 2026, will the seasonally adjusted U-6 total unemployed plus marginally attached and part-time-for-economic-reasons rate exceed the October 2026 U-6 rate initially published on 6 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

040US-PRODUCTIVITY-Q3

US Q3 productivity revision

Resolution deadline ·

In the BLS Productivity and Costs revised release for Q3 2026 scheduled for 8 December 2026, will the nonfarm-business labor-productivity quarterly annualized growth estimate be revised above the preliminary estimate published on 5 November 2026? Resolve YES only for a strictly upward revision; resolve NO for no revision or a downward revision.

041US-ULC-Q3

US Q3 unit labour costs revision

Resolution deadline ·

In the BLS Productivity and Costs revised release for Q3 2026 scheduled for 8 December 2026, will the nonfarm-business unit-labor-cost quarterly annualized growth estimate be revised above the preliminary estimate published on 5 November 2026? Resolve YES only for a strictly upward revision; resolve NO for no revision or a downward revision.

042US-CPI-NOV

US November headline CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for November 2026 scheduled for 10 December 2026, will the all-items 12-month percent change exceed the all-items 12-month percent change initially reported for October 2026? Resolve YES if the November rate is strictly higher; resolve NO if it is equal or lower.

043US-CORE-CPI-NOV

US November core CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for November 2026 scheduled for 10 December 2026, will the 12-month percent change for all items less food and energy exceed the corresponding rate initially reported for October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

044US-REAL-EARNINGS-NOV

US November real hourly earnings

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Real Earnings release for November 2026 scheduled for 10 December 2026, will the 12-month percent change in real average hourly earnings exceed the corresponding rate initially reported for October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

045US-PPI-NOV

US November headline PPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for November 2026 scheduled for 15 December 2026, will the final-demand 12-month percent change exceed the final-demand 12-month percent change initially reported for October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

046US-CORE-PPI-NOV

US November core PPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for November 2026 scheduled for 15 December 2026, will the 12-month percent change for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services exceed the corresponding rate initially reported for October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

047US-IMPORT-PRICES-NOV

US November import prices

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release for November 2026 scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the all-import 12-month percent change exceed the all-import 12-month percent change initially reported for October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

048US-EXPORT-PRICES-NOV

US November export prices

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release for November 2026 scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the all-export 12-month percent change exceed the all-export 12-month percent change initially reported for October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

03

UK data

15 questions
049UK-GDP-Q3

UK Q3 real GDP

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ONS GDP first quarterly estimate for Q3 2026 scheduled for 12 November 2026, will real UK GDP show strictly positive quarter-on-quarter growth? Resolve YES only for an initial quarter-on-quarter growth estimate above 0.0%; resolve NO for 0.0% or a contraction.

050UK-GDP-SEP

UK September monthly GDP

Resolution deadline ·

In the ONS GDP first quarterly estimate for Q3 2026 scheduled for 12 November 2026, will the September 2026 monthly real GDP estimate show strictly positive month-on-month growth? Resolve YES only for growth above 0.0%; resolve NO for 0.0% or a contraction.

051UK-PRODUCTION-SEP

UK September industrial production

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ONS Index of Production release for September 2026 scheduled for 12 November 2026, will seasonally adjusted total industrial production show strictly positive month-on-month growth? Resolve YES only for growth above 0.0%; resolve NO for 0.0% or a contraction.

052UK-UNEMPLOYMENT-OCT

UK October labour-market unemployment

Resolution deadline ·

In the ONS UK Labour Market release scheduled for 17 November 2026, will the reported unemployment rate for July–September 2026 exceed the rate for June–August 2026 reported in the October 2026 release? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

053UK-WAGES-OCT

UK October regular-pay growth

Resolution deadline ·

In the ONS UK Labour Market release scheduled for 17 November 2026, will annual growth in regular average weekly earnings excluding bonuses for July–September 2026 exceed the corresponding annual growth rate for June–August 2026 reported in October? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

054UK-CPI-OCT

UK October headline CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ONS Consumer Price Inflation release for October 2026 scheduled for 18 November 2026, will the CPI 12-month inflation rate exceed the September 2026 rate initially published on 21 October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

055UK-CORE-CPI-OCT

UK October core CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ONS Consumer Price Inflation release for October 2026 scheduled for 18 November 2026, will the CPI excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco 12-month rate exceed the corresponding September 2026 rate initially published on 21 October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

056UK-RETAIL-OCT

UK October retail volumes

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ONS Retail Sales release for October 2026 scheduled for 20 November 2026, will seasonally adjusted retail sales volumes show strictly positive month-on-month growth? Resolve YES only for growth above 0.0%; resolve NO for 0.0% or a contraction.

057UK-PSF-OCT

UK October public borrowing

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ONS Public Sector Finances release for October 2026 scheduled for 20 November 2026, will public-sector net borrowing excluding public-sector banks exceed the amount initially reported for October 2025? Resolve YES if the October 2026 amount is strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

058UK-GDP-OCT

UK October monthly GDP

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ONS GDP monthly estimate for October 2026 scheduled for 11 December 2026, will real UK GDP show strictly positive month-on-month growth? Resolve YES only for growth above 0.0%; resolve NO for 0.0% or a contraction.

059UK-UNEMPLOYMENT-NOV

UK November labour-market unemployment

Resolution deadline ·

In the ONS UK Labour Market release scheduled for 15 December 2026, will the reported unemployment rate for August–October 2026 exceed the rate for July–September 2026 reported in the November 2026 release? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

060UK-WAGES-NOV

UK November regular-pay growth

Resolution deadline ·

In the ONS UK Labour Market release scheduled for 15 December 2026, will annual growth in regular average weekly earnings excluding bonuses for August–October 2026 exceed the corresponding annual growth rate for July–September 2026 reported in November? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

061UK-CPI-NOV

UK November headline CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ONS Consumer Price Inflation release for November 2026 scheduled for 16 December 2026, will the CPI 12-month inflation rate exceed the October 2026 rate initially published on 18 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

062UK-CORE-CPI-NOV

UK November core CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ONS Consumer Price Inflation release for November 2026 scheduled for 16 December 2026, will the CPI excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco 12-month rate exceed the corresponding October 2026 rate initially published on 18 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

063UK-RETAIL-NOV

UK November retail volumes

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ONS Retail Sales release for November 2026 scheduled for 18 December 2026, will seasonally adjusted retail sales volumes show strictly positive month-on-month growth? Resolve YES only for growth above 0.0%; resolve NO for 0.0% or a contraction.

04

Euro-area data

12 questions
064EA-GDP-Q3-FLASH-R1

Euro-area Q3 updated flash GDP

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's updated GDP and employment flash estimates for Q3 2026 scheduled for 13 November 2026, will seasonally adjusted real euro-area GDP show strictly positive quarter-on-quarter growth? Resolve YES only for growth above 0.0%; resolve NO for 0.0% or a contraction.

065EA-EMPLOYMENT-Q3-FLASH-R1

Euro-area Q3 updated flash employment

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's updated GDP and employment flash estimates for Q3 2026 scheduled for 13 November 2026, will euro-area employment show strictly positive quarter-on-quarter growth? Resolve YES only for growth above 0.0%; resolve NO for 0.0% or a contraction.

066EA-CPI-OCT-FINAL

Euro-area October final inflation

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's full HICP release for October 2026 scheduled for 18 November 2026, will the euro-area annual inflation rate exceed the 4.0% flash estimate published on 4 November 2026? Resolve YES only if the final annual rate is strictly above 4.0%; resolve NO if it is 4.0% or lower.

067EA-CORE-CPI-OCT

Euro-area October core inflation

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's full HICP release for October 2026 scheduled for 18 November 2026, will the annual rate excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco exceed the corresponding final annual rate reported for September 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

068EA-ESI-NOV

Euro-area November economic sentiment

Resolution deadline ·

In the European Commission Business and Consumer Surveys release for November 2026 scheduled for 27 November 2026, will the euro-area Economic Sentiment Indicator exceed its October 2026 reading? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

069EA-CPI-NOV-FLASH

Euro-area November flash inflation

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's flash HICP estimate for November 2026 scheduled for 1 December 2026, will the euro-area annual inflation rate exceed 4.0%? Resolve YES only if the flash annual rate is strictly above 4.0%; resolve NO if it is 4.0% or lower.

070EA-CORE-CPI-NOV-FLASH

Euro-area November flash core inflation

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's flash HICP estimate for November 2026 scheduled for 1 December 2026, will the annual rate excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco exceed the corresponding final annual rate reported for October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

071EA-UNEMPLOYMENT-OCT

Euro-area October unemployment

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's unemployment release for October 2026 scheduled for 2 December 2026, will the seasonally adjusted euro-area unemployment rate exceed the 6.5% rate initially reported for September 2026? Resolve YES only if the October rate is strictly above 6.5%; resolve NO if it is 6.5% or lower.

072EA-GDP-Q3-SECOND-R1

Euro-area Q3 regular GDP estimate

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's regular GDP and employment estimates for Q3 2026 scheduled for 7 December 2026, will the euro-area quarter-on-quarter real GDP growth estimate exceed the updated flash estimate published on 13 November 2026? Resolve YES only for a strictly higher regular estimate; resolve NO for an equal or lower estimate.

073EA-EMPLOYMENT-Q3-SECOND-R1

Euro-area Q3 regular employment estimate

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's regular GDP and employment estimates for Q3 2026 scheduled for 7 December 2026, will the euro-area quarter-on-quarter employment growth estimate exceed the updated flash estimate published on 13 November 2026? Resolve YES only for a strictly higher regular estimate; resolve NO for an equal or lower estimate.

074EA-CPI-NOV-FINAL

Euro-area November final inflation

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's full HICP release for November 2026 scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the euro-area annual inflation rate exceed the flash estimate published on 1 December 2026? Resolve YES only for a strictly higher final rate; resolve NO for an equal or lower rate.

075EA-CORE-CPI-NOV-FINAL

Euro-area November final core inflation

Resolution deadline ·

In Eurostat's full HICP release for November 2026 scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the annual rate excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco exceed the corresponding flash annual rate published on 1 December 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

05

Swiss data

4 questions
076CH-GDP-Q3-R1

Switzerland Q3 GDP flash

Resolution deadline ·

In SECO's GDP flash for Q3 2026 scheduled for 16 November 2026, will Switzerland's real GDP adjusted for sporting events show strictly positive quarter-on-quarter growth? Resolve YES only for growth above 0.0%; resolve NO for 0.0% or a contraction. Use the GDP flash, not the later detailed quarterly estimate.

077CH-CPI-MOM-NOV

Switzerland November monthly CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial Swiss Federal Statistical Office CPI release for November 2026 scheduled for 2 December 2026, will the national CPI show strictly positive month-on-month growth? Resolve YES only for a month-on-month increase above 0.0%; resolve NO for 0.0% or a decline.

078CH-CPI-NOV

Switzerland November headline CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial Swiss Federal Statistical Office CPI release for November 2026 scheduled for 2 December 2026, will the national CPI 12-month inflation rate exceed the October 2026 rate published on 3 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

079CH-CORE-CPI-NOV

Switzerland November core CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial Swiss Federal Statistical Office CPI release for November 2026 scheduled for 2 December 2026, will core inflation excluding fresh and seasonal products, energy and fuel exceed the corresponding October 2026 core rate published on 3 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

06

German data

4 questions
080DE-ZEW-NOV

Germany November ZEW sentiment

Resolution deadline ·

In the ZEW Financial Market Survey release scheduled for 17 November 2026, will the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany exceed the 28.1-point October 2026 reading? Resolve YES only if the November reading is strictly above 28.1; resolve NO if it is 28.1 or lower.

081DE-ZEW-DEC

Germany December ZEW sentiment

Resolution deadline ·

In the ZEW Financial Market Survey release scheduled for 15 December 2026, will the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany exceed the November 2026 reading published on 17 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

082DE-IFO-NOV

Germany November ifo Business Climate

Resolution deadline ·

In the ifo Institute release scheduled for 24 November 2026, will the ifo Business Climate Index for Germany exceed its October 2026 reading? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

083DE-IFO-DEC

Germany December ifo Business Climate

Resolution deadline ·

In the ifo Institute release scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the ifo Business Climate Index for Germany exceed its November 2026 reading published on 24 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

07

Japanese data

4 questions
084JP-CPI-OCT

Japan October headline CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In Japan's initial national CPI release for October 2026 scheduled for 20 November 2026, will the all-items year-on-year percent change exceed the September 2026 rate published on 23 October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

085JP-CORE-CPI-OCT

Japan October core CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In Japan's initial national CPI release for October 2026 scheduled for 20 November 2026, will the year-on-year percent change for all items excluding fresh food exceed the corresponding September 2026 rate published on 23 October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

086JP-CPI-NOV

Japan November headline CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In Japan's initial national CPI release for November 2026 scheduled for 18 December 2026, will the all-items year-on-year percent change exceed the October 2026 rate published on 20 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

087JP-CORE-CPI-NOV

Japan November core CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In Japan's initial national CPI release for November 2026 scheduled for 18 December 2026, will the year-on-year percent change for all items excluding fresh food exceed the corresponding October 2026 rate published on 20 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

08

Canadian data

4 questions
088CA-CPI-OCT

Canada October headline CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In Statistics Canada's initial CPI release for October 2026 scheduled for 16 November 2026, will the all-items 12-month percent change exceed the September 2026 rate published on 19 October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

089CA-CPI-MEDIAN-OCT

Canada October CPI-median

Resolution deadline ·

In Statistics Canada's initial CPI release for October 2026 scheduled for 16 November 2026, will the CPI-median 12-month percent change exceed the corresponding September 2026 rate published on 19 October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

090CA-CPI-NOV

Canada November headline CPI

Resolution deadline ·

In Statistics Canada's initial CPI release for November 2026 scheduled for 14 December 2026, will the all-items 12-month percent change exceed the October 2026 rate published on 16 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

091CA-CPI-MEDIAN-NOV

Canada November CPI-median

Resolution deadline ·

In Statistics Canada's initial CPI release for November 2026 scheduled for 14 December 2026, will the CPI-median 12-month percent change exceed the corresponding October 2026 rate published on 16 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

09

Australian data

4 questions
092AU-EMPLOYMENT-OCT

Australia October employment

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ABS Labour Force release for October 2026 scheduled for 19 November 2026, will the seasonally adjusted monthly change in employed persons be greater than zero? Resolve YES only for a strictly positive initial estimate; resolve NO for zero or a negative estimate.

093AU-UNEMPLOYMENT-OCT

Australia October unemployment

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ABS Labour Force release for October 2026 scheduled for 19 November 2026, will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate exceed the September 2026 rate initially published on 15 October 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

094AU-EMPLOYMENT-NOV

Australia November employment

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ABS Labour Force release for November 2026 scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the seasonally adjusted monthly change in employed persons be greater than zero? Resolve YES only for a strictly positive initial estimate; resolve NO for zero or a negative estimate.

095AU-UNEMPLOYMENT-NOV

Australia November unemployment

Resolution deadline ·

In the initial ABS Labour Force release for November 2026 scheduled for 17 December 2026, will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate exceed the October 2026 rate initially published on 19 November 2026? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

10

Chinese data

5 questions
096CN-PMI-MFG-NOV

China November manufacturing PMI

Resolution deadline ·

In the National Bureau of Statistics of China PMI release for November 2026 scheduled for 30 November 2026, will the official manufacturing PMI be strictly above 50.0? Resolve YES only for a reading above 50.0; resolve NO for a reading of 50.0 or below.

097CN-PMI-SERVICES-NOV

China November non-manufacturing PMI

Resolution deadline ·

In the National Bureau of Statistics of China PMI release for November 2026 scheduled for 30 November 2026, will the official non-manufacturing PMI be strictly above 50.0? Resolve YES only for a reading above 50.0; resolve NO for a reading of 50.0 or below.

098CN-PMI-MFG-DEC

China December manufacturing PMI

Resolution deadline ·

In the National Bureau of Statistics of China PMI release for December 2026 scheduled for 31 December 2026, will the official manufacturing PMI be strictly above 50.0? Resolve YES only for a reading above 50.0; resolve NO for a reading of 50.0 or below.

099CN-PMI-SERVICES-DEC

China December non-manufacturing PMI

Resolution deadline ·

In the National Bureau of Statistics of China PMI release for December 2026 scheduled for 31 December 2026, will the official non-manufacturing PMI be strictly above 50.0? Resolve YES only for a reading above 50.0; resolve NO for a reading of 50.0 or below.

100CN-INDUSTRIAL-OCT

China October industrial production

Resolution deadline ·

In the National Bureau of Statistics of China Industrial Production Operation release for October 2026 scheduled for 16 November 2026, will the year-on-year growth rate of value added of industry above designated size exceed the corresponding September 2026 rate? Resolve YES if strictly higher; resolve NO if equal or lower.

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